Asylum Seekers to Rwanda - A Deterrent?

Last I remember was last year when there were objections, same as this week.

Karl, admit it, you’re just anti this government. But please keep your sense of your morals.

Encouraging people smuggling is just not on.
There are (or should be) regular deportations of failed asylum seekers, and I do not believe that these deportations are regularly protested. Who protests at them? Where & when? On what grounds?


We do agree: Encouraging people smuggling is just not on.


I will therefore admit that I do not think this gov't's policy of sending asylum seekers to Rwanda will help discourage this, and I am therefore strongly anti this expensive gov't policy, that I believe is more about elections (this week, and whenever the next one is - blame it all on the lefty-lawyers who have no choice but to act in their client's best interests), than discouraging the people-smugglers.

The idea that the smugglers will stop if people are sent to Rwanda will not deter the smugglers: as you pointed about above MOIC, they simply have an extra task to avoid Border Force, as 12 of those they were smuggling did this week.

A very simple & effective alternative is to open a processing centre in France. That will achieve two (maybe even three) things:

  1. it will significantly reduce the amount of Channel crossings;
  2. it will free-up resources of Border Force for the few crossings that may still be attempted;
  3. people like Emad Al Swealmeen (the Liverpool hospital bomber) would never have even got to the UK, so we wouldn't face something like that again.

What have you got against this alternative policy, MOIC?


Karl Limpert
 
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Last I remember was last year when there were objections, same as this week.

This week's actions were about the legal right of the UK to deport asylum-seekers to Rwanda. Once an application has been dealt with, I don't know of any lawyers, or anyone else, that "protest" against deportations of failed asylum-seekers. Is your memory able to cite any examples of this regularly happening?


Karl Limpert
 
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Nothing, if it happened.

Wow, it's taken a lot of debate, but it appears that we mostly-all (no idea about App Coder, but there'll always be one or two) agree that one quick & easy solution to reduce the Channel crossings, available to this gov't right now, is to open asylum-processing-centres in France.

So regardless of our views on this gov't, we all agree this gov't could be doing more to stop the people smugglers - there are alternatives to just picking legal battles & spending a lot of money trying to send people to Rwanda.


Karl Limpert
 
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Wow, it's taken a lot of debate, but it appears that we mostly-all (no idea about App Coder, but there'll always be one or two) agree that one quick & easy solution to reduce the Channel crossings, available to this gov't right now, is to open asylum-processing-centres in France.

So regardless of our views on this gov't, we all agree this gov't could be doing more to stop the people smugglers - there are alternatives to just picking legal battles & spending a lot of money trying to send people to Rwanda.


Karl Limpert
If only Ze French would comply!
 
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It’s the first time that asylum seekers were due to be deported publicly since the plane due to leave for Jamaica was protested against. . .

I believe you're confused, MOIC. I'm not talking about asylum-seekers (as this week's legal action was about), rather failed asylum-seekers - those that have applied, had their applications refused, and who should then be deported back to their country of origin.

Those stats from the House of Commons I linked to earlier had the numbers - many failed applicants in 2020, I think was the last year the records were available for. I assume the Home Office have deported all of those people now, aren't leaving them in the UK with no legal basis to be here (if they are not deporting people promptly, that's something else I would be anti-this gov't for).


Karl Limpert
 
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Forget what they say on the surface, you need to read the small print. They think that more will leave their shores, but they’ll be contentious arguments for those who are genuine asylum seekers and where they’ll stay during processing.

The French do what is good for them and them only.
 
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If only Ze French would comply!
Yes, if only the French would comply... oh look, they were encouraging the UK to do this only six months ago: https://www.france24.com/en/france/...pen-legal-migration-route-amid-channel-crisis

Perhaps there wouldn't be such dramatic TV for later political broadcasts as a plane waiting on a runway while lawyers argue in Strasbourg, or Border Force escorting a boat load of people into Dover, if we discreetly dealt with applications in France.


Karl Limpert
 
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Forget what they say on the surface, you need to read the small print. They think that more will leave their shores, but they’ll be contentious arguments for those who are genuine asylum seekers and where they’ll stay during processing.

Enlighten us, MOIC? What small print makes this option so difficult? A moment ago, I thought you agreed with the idea! (Did you only not like the idea when you realised criticism of this gov't is because this easy option to stop the people-smugglers is not being taken?)


What could be contentious about genuine asylum seekers? They apply while in France, we approve, and they safely cross the Channel on a ferry or train, to a new life in the UK. For those that fail, they're deported back to the country of origin (and perhaps anyone from the UK who wants to line the runways to protest can travel to France to do so).


They stay in France while the application is dealt with.



Karl Limpert
 
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Move on Karl.
Qualify your argument, rather than just tell me to move on, when I suggest what you've argued is simply not true.


I know of no instances of people lining runways, protesting against the deportation of failed asylum-seekers. Show me some examples of it regularly happening, or even explain why it would be an issue, even if it did happen.



Karl Limpert
 
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Enlighten us, MOIC? What small print makes this option so difficult? A moment ago, I thought you agreed with the idea! (Did you only not like the idea when you realised criticism of this gov't is because this easy option to stop the people-smugglers is not being taken?)


What could be contentious about genuine asylum seekers? They apply while in France, we approve, and they safely cross the Channel on a ferry or train, to a new life in the UK. For those that fail, they're deported back to the country of origin (and perhaps anyone from the UK who wants to line the runways to protest can travel to France to do so).


They stay in France while the application is dealt with.



Karl Limpert
If you think Ze French will agree to your proposal, I’ll be happy with it.

It’s a big IF.

Not only will there be protesters on the runway, they’ll connect themselves with bars………and probably glue.
 
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If you think Ze French will agree to your proposal, I’ll be happy with it.

It’s a big IF.

Not only will there be protesters on the runway, they’ll connect themselves with bars………and probably glue.
Not only do they agree with it, they urged the UK to open a processing centre in Northern France!

Link added again, for convenience: https://www.france24.com/en/france/...pen-legal-migration-route-amid-channel-crisis


What protesters, against who being deported where?



Karl Limpert
 
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Qualify your argument, rather than just tell me to move on, when I suggest what you've argued is simply not true.


I know of no instances of people lining runways, protesting against the deportation of failed asylum-seekers. Show me some examples of it regularly happening, or even explain why it would be an issue, even if it did happen.



Karl Limpert
Karl, calm down you’re not in court. It’s a Time Out forum and the question is whether sending asylum seekers for processing will stop the people smugglers.

Until it’s allowed to happen, we’ll never know, and the probability is that we’ll never know due to people who are anti government and that’s their main agenda.

So, we’ve said what we have and realise each other’s position.

Being pedantic when you know what is meant will not take this debate any further.

In short, it’s reached the end of the road, until the next plane is due to take off, or the judicial hearing next month, whichever comes first.
 
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Not only do they agree with it, they urged the UK to open a processing centre in Northern France!

Link added again, for convenience: https://www.france24.com/en/france/...pen-legal-migration-route-amid-channel-crisis


What protesters, against who being deported where?



Karl Limpert
Karl, I am not sure if you speak any foreign languages? I am a linguist and I don't know if it would help if I translate some of MOIC's phrases?

Move on Karl - I cannot produce any argument against your point and I demand that you stop making valid arguments.

Now you’re being pedantic. - You are using facts that I cannot counter. Stop doing that.

Karl, calm down you’re not in court. - PLEASE stop proving that I am unable to mount a valid argument or counter any of the sense that you are posting.
 
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So, we’ve said what we have and realise each other’s position.

I have absolutely no idea what your position is, MOIC, as it seems to have changed over the last couple of pages.

(I know you favour the outsourcing of asylum to Rwanda, but in terms of more practical or quick options (which would not face legal challenges), such as opening a processing centre in France, I have no idea where you stand – you appeared to back-track from supporting it, to blaming France for not allowing it, to arguing it’s not viable due to some apparent small print, that no-one knows what this is.


And I have no idea if you believe sending some asylum seekers to Rwanda would stop the people-smuggling, as you yourself explained that 12 people reached these shores yesterday, and currently face no risk of being deported to Rwanda, so the incentive would still appear to be there!)

Being pedantic when you know what is meant will not take this debate any further.
I simply do not know what was meant at all. Nothing pedantic about it: I simply did not, do not, understand the argument that you were making – that there are regularly protests against the deportations of failed asylum seekers. This is simply not something I’m aware of, and would still welcome some enlightenment, or clarification on what you were meaning to say about protests.


Karl Limpert
 
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FVdCjnYXoAAfiiB

Here's an alternative way the Rwanda plan could be made to work... or perhaps not.



Karl Limpert
 
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Obviously no easy answers, but the UK needs to find a way to control numbers, not least because it is believed up to 20 million Africans are likely to head towards Europe over the next decade or two. Partly down to persecution, economic reasons and water food scarcity.

No way of knowing how many would choose the UK as their country of choice, but I imagine it would be a large number, even if most chose other European countries.
 
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Was reading some of the early posts in this thread, before I was invited (or was I told?) to move on.

Karl, I'm enjoying our debate.
I’ve continued to enjoy the debate with MOIC & the many contributions here. Don’t really care for the blatantly racist views, but those who simply think this is a good idea, I welcome the debate.

What fascinates me is this little gem of information:
In Feb 2022, the total daily cost of housing asylum seekers in hotels is £4.7 million — equivalent to £1.7 billion a year. The Home Office said it was costing £3.5 million per day to house about 25,000 asylum seekers in hotels.

Not cheap and has to be paid for by the tax payer.

This is before a decision on their status has been made . . . . . .which takes months.

Months to decide on a claim, with daily costs of £4.7 million.

And what does the gov’t do to speed up that process/reduce that bill?

Nothing…

Instead, it says it will take even more to deal with applications!
While your claim is being considered under these rules [The inadmissibility rules], your asylum claim will not move forward in the UK.

This just looks like a complete waste of taxpayers money, solely to generate criticism against lawyers (unless of course the lawyers are acting for Boris Johnson – I don’t remember a lot of criticism for the lawyers that helped him in dealing with the Met's Partygate investigation) who do something positive for their clients – things like getting a judge to confirm to the Home Office what the law is.

The more one reads about this, the more it simply sounds like the Home Office want to generate a legal response so they can shift the blame for the costs & all the failures to deal with this onto lefty lawyers, or anyone else but this gov't who consciously put us in this position where smuggling is encouraged, and we refuse to explore sensible options to discourage it.


Karl Limpert
 
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(I know you favour the outsourcing of asylum to Rwanda, but in terms of more practical or quick options (which would not face legal challenges),
Incorrect, I support a way of stopping the people smugglers. I have suggested a 'continent' plan to the asylum situation, which is neither in support of the Rwanda plan and which (in my view) needs to be given a chance to work in the absence of other feasible ideas. As is customary, the usual suspects (let's say the pro Brexiters) will say anything against what this government does or tries to do, everything, bar nothing. Please don't let it be inferred that I'm either pro government or a racist. Both are ignorant assumptions. If it's better for the UK and it's people, then I'm for it.


such as opening a processing centre in France, I have no idea where you stand – you appeared to back-track from supporting it, to blaming France for not allowing it, to arguing it’s not viable due to some apparent small print, that no-one knows what this is.
I suggested that the way to stop asylum seekers being killed crossing the channel is to process them in France. The fact that the French have suggested that they welcome the idea is just French talk, as they know what will happen . . . . . . they will send all the migrants and asylum seekers in their country to the processing center and then scream out that the UK are not processing the migrants. It's France's problem.


As you've mentioned several times in your quote, the UK left the Dublin Convention which stated that asylum seekers should seek asylum in the first country they land.


The Dublin Regulation (also known as Dublin III) is EU law setting out which country is responsible for looking at an individual's asylum application. This is usually the country where the asylum seeker first arrives in the EU.


Since the UK departure the situation is purely between France & UK to negotiate, although France as well as all the countries asylum seekers get to, are all part of the Dublin Convention, so should adhere to it's rules.


The 'Dublin III Regulation' and all other aspects of the Common European Asylum System will no longer apply to the UK from January 2021.


It's France's problem and they want to shift the problem on to the UK.


The French do not want any UK personnel patrolling their beaches as they know full well that they will stop an amount of boats crossing the channel and make it hard for the criminal gangs to get their unseaworthy boats into the sea. Do the French stop the?, No, not even one boat. They just want to 'get rid' of as many migrants and asylum seekers out of their country and into British waters, which means the 'problem is for the UK to deal with.

if you think that the French will not encourage migrants and asylum seekers to any proposed processing center set up in France is simply for the birds. They want to reduce their migrant and asylum seeking population which is a vote winner for the current (perhaps incumbent) government. In an ideal world it may work, but given the strained relationship between the EU and Britain as well as the recent spat with the fishing rights and the French threatening to cut off electricity in Guernsey, It won't. The £54 million proposed deal with the French increasing their police patrols on the shores of Calais, came to nothing. The French ain't interested.

You've recently suggested a processing center in France and I'm sure you'll advocate to give it time to see if it will work. Why can't the same patience be allowed to work for other plans?

What other plans do you have in mind, or is it just the one? The French should solve their own problem, as guided by the Dublin Convention.

The British courts, (including The Supreme Court) said the that the plane can legally take off. It was only a 'late night judge' (one) in Strasbourg:

The Court had regard to the concerns identified in the material before it, in particular by the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR), that asylum-seekers transferred from the United Kingdom to Rwanda will not have access to fair and efficient procedures for the determination of refugee status.

Should the British High Court & Supreme Court be overruled? Perhaps that's for another thread.


And I have no idea if you believe sending some asylum seekers to Rwanda would stop the people-smuggling, as you yourself explained that 12 people reached these shores yesterday, and currently face no risk of being deported to Rwanda, so the incentive would still appear to be there!)
12 people versus thousands a week - come on Karl, get a sense of perspective. Nearly 500 landed the other day alone at Dover. The fact that the border force have to be concentrated around Dover, leaves other areas unprotected. See the bigger picture. The smuggling gangs are no mugs and will do anything for money, including getting non-desirables into the UK.

About 8,400 migrants crossed in 2020, and more than 28,000 made the journey in 2021. In 2022 (up to 7 June) more than 10,000 people crossed the channel, and a further 1000 + the past week. And we're now getting into peak season fro the crossings........ 7 were on the plane.


I simply do not know what was meant at all. Nothing pedantic about it: I simply did not, do not, understand the argument that you were making – that there are regularly protests against the deportations of failed asylum seekers. This is simply not something I’m aware of, and would still welcome some enlightenment, or clarification on what you were meaning to say about protests.
Protests against asylum seekers (who fail to meet/prove the criteria) being sent to Rwanda for further processing. 7 were on the plane, out of the thousands that have been processed.


Karl, you've made your point and I think I've made mine. Lets not go round in circles, otherwise it's just about scoring brownie points, which is frankly pointless.

Let's move on. (It's a suggestion)
 
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Obviously no easy answers, but the UK needs to find a way to control numbers, not least because it is believed up to 20 million Africans are likely to head towards Europe over the next decade or two. Partly down to persecution, economic reasons and water food scarcity.

Perhaps by doing something about the persecution, economic reasons and water food scarcity?

Everyone is focused on stopping them from crossing the channel or getting them across the channel depending on their political bias, but surely it would be better for everyone if they were safe, and had money, food and water in their own countries?

What is the economic impact of massive numbers of mainly 20-something men leaving the countries that they come from?
 
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Perhaps by doing something about the persecution, economic reasons and water food scarcity?

Everyone is focused on stopping them from crossing the channel or getting them across the channel depending on their political bias, but surely it would be better for everyone if they were safe, and had money, food and water in their own countries?

What is the economic impact of massive numbers of mainly 20-something men leaving the countries that they come from?

I totally agree.
 
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Incorrect, I support a way of stopping the people smugglers. I have suggested a 'continent' plan to the asylum situation, which is neither in support of the Rwanda plan and which (in my view) needs to be given a chance to work in the absence of other feasible ideas.
Well then I completely misunderstood you, and I apologise if I misrepresented your views.

As is customary, the usual suspects (let's say the pro Brexiters) will say anything against what this government does or tries to do, everything, bar nothing.
Don’t know where I fit into this, but personally as I’ve explained above, I have serious issues with this announcement, as I believe it’s simply red meat for the voters, and is not a serious plan that they expect will discourage people smugglers, or will significantly reduce the asylum applications dealt with in the UK.

Much like the previous announced policy of turning the boats back in the Channel, that only this week Boris Johnson confirmed was actually too dangerous to proceed with – although announcing it as a policy, Priti Patel kept the voters happy for a while, until some other random idea could be announced… enter Rwanda.

Unless all people crossing the Channel were sent to Rwanda (which has never been the intention), why would it possibly be an incentive to stop the people smugglers? There will still be demand for their services, and they will continue to compromise life.

Given that, no-one has given any argument, let alone a credible one, as to why this policy would put the people smugglers out of business, and in the absence of that, it does leave a question over what the true intentions are of the gov’t, and the hopes of anyone supporting this policy.

I support the position of Conservative MPs, such as David Davis, as I’ve quoted previously.


Please don't let it be inferred that I'm either pro government or a racist. Both are ignorant assumptions. If it's better for the UK and it's people, then I'm for it.

If you’re not pro this government, I’ve misinterpreted your position when you suggest because I don’t like this policy, I must not like this government.

And I certainly believe that I distinguished those who I enjoy debating the matters with (including you, MOIC), and the blatantly racist contributors.


As you've mentioned several times in your quote, the UK left the Dublin Convention which stated that asylum seekers should seek asylum in the first country they land.

It (https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/en/TXT/?uri=CELEX:32003R0343) says no such thing, as your subsequent quote clearly explains. It places responsibility for the processing of an application on the first country they passed through; no responsibility is placed on an asylum seeker to actually apply in any specific country.


Since the UK departure the situation is purely between France & UK to negotiate, although France as well as all the countries asylum seekers get to, are all part of the Dublin Convention, so should adhere to it's rules.

Where are they not adhering to the rules of the Dublin Convention? People sitting in camps in Northern France, that have not made an application for asylum, cannot be treated as asylum seekers.

It's France's problem and they want to shift the problem on to the UK.

How is it France’s problem, the number (28,000, according to your figures in 2021) of asylum seekers entering the UK every year? As we left all arrangements we had with France (except paying them lots of money to patrol their beaches, which you say they don’t actually do, so no idea why I would support this gov’t policy either – sounds like more wasted money), it’s got nothing to do with France.

The French do not want any UK personnel patrolling their beaches as they know full well that they will stop an amount of boats crossing the channel and make it hard for the criminal gangs to get their unseaworthy boats into the sea. Do the French stop the?, No, not even one boat.
I have no idea what France’s motivation is, but I can perfectly understand the credible argument that they won’t allow a foreign country to act as a police force in their country – sovereignty. Why should they allow us to operate our forces unrestricted across 100s of miles of their country?

They just want to 'get rid' of as many migrants and asylum seekers out of their country and into British waters, which means the 'problem is for the UK to deal with.
Again, the problem with this argument is, 1) that they’re asylum seekers we’re debating, not migrants; and 2) they’re not asylum seekers until they actually make a claim for asylum, which they don’t do until they get into UK territory – the asylum seekers thus choosing to make the “problem” one for the UK to deal with.


if you think that the French will not encourage migrants and asylum seekers to any proposed processing center set up in France is simply for the birds. They want to reduce their migrant and asylum seeking population which is a vote winner for the current (perhaps incumbent) government. In an ideal world it may work, but given the strained relationship between the EU and Britain as well as the recent spat with the fishing rights and the French threatening to cut off electricity in Guernsey, It won't. The £54 million proposed deal with the French increasing their police patrols on the shores of Calais, came to nothing. The French ain't interested.

I simply do not think the French are interested in taking a dispute about fishing rights, or other Brexit-related matters, into an area that could stop bodies being washed ashore on their beaches.
They’ve proposed it, so how can you seriously argue they ain’t interested.



You've recently suggested a processing center in France and I'm sure you'll advocate to give it time to see if it will work. Why can't the same patience be allowed to work for other plans?

Because the other plans are legally far more complicated; will take a lot of time to implement (if we even got the agreement of 192 other countries - and Russia seems to think our actions are for electoral reasons, not genuinely about saving lives; are limited in their intentions; and most importantly, because it won’t apply to nearly-all asylum seekers, there will still be plenty of incentive for the people smugglers.

What other plans do you have in mind, or is it just the one? The French should solve their own problem, as guided by the Dublin Convention.
Agreed. Any examples of the French not doing so? When have they ignored asylum seekers?

(Remember, an asylum seeker only becomes an asylum seeker when they make an application to a country for asylum, not when they pass through a country on the way to make an application elsewhere in the world.)


The British courts, (including The Supreme Court) said the that the plane can legally take off. It was only a 'late night judge' (one) in Strasbourg:

The Court had regard to the concerns identified in the material before it, in particular by the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR), that asylum-seekers transferred from the United Kingdom to Rwanda will not have access to fair and efficient procedures for the determination of refugee status.

Should the British High Court & Supreme Court be overruled? Perhaps that's for another thread.

I think the senior court (which has a UK judge on it) for these matters should be able to make a ruling, just like nearly all courts have an appeals process.

Rather than my view though, let’s take the view of someone who took a prominent position in the Brexit campaign, and takes a prominent position even today:

Boris Johnson at York Racecourse 23 May 2016 said:
I think it was one of the great things we gave to Europe. It was under Winston Churchill, it was a fine idea in the post-War environment.

I am not against the European Convention or indeed the Court because it's very important for us - the judgements of the European Court of Human Rights do not have to be applied either by the UK courts or by the UK Parliament.

The judgements of the European Court in Luxembourg do and Luxembourg is supreme.
Keep the European Convention, it's a fine thing. Get out of the EU.




12 people versus thousands a week - come on Karl, get a sense of perspective. Nearly 500 landed the other day alone at Dover. The fact that the border force have to be concentrated around Dover, leaves other areas unprotected. See the bigger picture. The smuggling gangs are no mugs and will do anything for money, including getting non-desirables into the UK.

I am looking at the bigger picture. Saying that there’s a small chance you may be deported to Rwanda, if you’re caught by Border Force, does not sound like anything of a disincentive for those making the journey. And why would it, given everything they’ve already gone through?

But if we remove the need for the journey completely for genuine asylum seekers, process them in France, then Border Force can be freed up to concentrate on the few that are genuinely trying to be smuggled into the UK, not simply entering UK territory to claim asylum.

cont/... (reply too big for one post)



Karl Limpert
 
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Protests against asylum seekers (who fail to meet/prove the criteria) being sent to Rwanda for further processing. 7 were on the plane, out of the thousands that have been processed.

All protests against deporting genuine asylum seekers, not anyone protesting to keep a failed asylum seeker in the UK. The only reason failed asylum seekers are still in the UK is because this brilliant government are too inefficient to actually bother deporting them!

None of the 7 that were on the plane, or the 100 or so that were initially earmarked for deportation, have failed to meet or prove any criteria. Once again, you seem to misrepresent (or fail to understand) the actual purpose of the scheme: it’s to offshore the whole process, including any subsequent asylum to Rwanda: we have not processed the applications, have no idea if they can meet the criteria, so they have failed nothing at all.

Karl, you've made your point and I think I've made mine. Lets not go round in circles, otherwise it's just about scoring brownie points, which is frankly pointless.

Let's move on. (It's a suggestion)
The only reason I’m reluctant to move on MOIC is once again, it’s demonstrably clear that many people simply do not understand the policy (or indeed many other policies, or how we got here, such as the UK choosing to leave the Dublin Convention), or how it is intended to operate, yet expect it to somehow completely defeat the business model for the people smugglers, when the interest will clearly still be there for the many, while a simple alternative is not being pursued by the gov’t. Why? Too easy? Wouldn’t get the populist headlines? Will only get attention when we actually have to accept the vast majority who are successful? Oddly, I’m interested in saving lives, rather than saving Johnson’s career, so I support sensible policies, not this nonsense that generates headlines for the likes of the Daily Mail.


Karl Limpert
 
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Another example of Home Office inefficiencies costing more than a million pounds daily. But hey, if Priti Patel is too busy arguing about activist lawyers legally frustrating her plans (although it was her department that withdrew most of the notices of deportation, without any court orders), I guess we can't expect her to be focused on getting value for taxpayers, or actually helping refugees get settled into the UK.



Karl Limpert
 
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