2nd favorites?

  • Thread starter Thread starter Mwebb
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Mwebb

England are second favorites. How does that work? We will never come second, or even get past the Qtr Finals.

Brazil 5/2
England 13/2
Germany 7/1
Argentina 8/1
Italy 8/1
France 10/1
Holland 12/1
Spain 14/1
 
Mwebb said:
England are second favorites. How does that work? We will never come second, or even get past the Qtr Finals.

Brazil 5/2
England 13/2
Germany 7/1
Argentina 8/1
Italy 8/1
France 10/1
Holland 12/1
Spain 14/1

It doesn't mean we are favourites to come second, it means we are second favourites to come first.

You never know, we might have afew good/lucky games, get brazil in the final and play our arses off! it's happened before!

;)
 
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Niteflyer said:
It doesn't mean we are favourites to come second, it means we are second favourites to come first.

You never know, we might have afew good/lucky games, get brazil in the final and play our arses off! it's happened before!

;)

So therefore favorites to come second surely?

I know.
 
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I don't understand why we are second favourites, surely we should be THE favourites !!
 
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vshosting said:
I don't understand why we are second favourites, surely we should be THE favourites !!

I agree, but the booies seem to thnk the samba boys are going to win again??? I don't think they will.
 
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England are second favorites. How does that work?

Firstly, those prices are shocking, anyone thinking of betting should shop around.

On oddschecker.com, best bookies prices right now are:

Brazil 11/4
Germany 8
England 8
Argentina 9
Italy 10
France 14/1
Holland 14/1

I think Brasil look a little long at 11/4 and France could easily make a mockery of their price (or go out in the 2nd round).

I know that Germany are at home, but they'd be the worst team to win the WC in my lifetime (and I'll be 38 the day the WC starts, so that's a lot of World Cups!).

Apart from that, the prices look about right to me.

Steve
 
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I'm still going with Holland to beat Brazil in the final. While I think England will squeak through to the second round, I don't believe we'll beat Paraguay.

Do bookmaker odds depend on a team's ability or on the number of supporters placing bets? If it's the latter, I can understand why England are second favourites.
 
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Do bookmaker odds depend on a team's ability or on the number of supporters placing bets?

Basic explanation: when they first start quoting prices in a market like this, they usually work out the chance each team has and then factor in a local bias.

So, in the UK, they know that England will be oversupported and, as they don't want too much liability on England, they contract the price a little.

Then as the market opens and develops before the competition starts, they adjust the prices according to the weight of money (and footballing news such as injuries).

So, a one qword answer to your question is: "both".

Steve

PS This is a simplified explanation. The bookies actually quote prices for the WC before the qualifiers start, so they keep having to adjust the prices to factor in how well or badly different teams are doing in th qualifiers.
 
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