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So your very best shot in ideal conditions with no exceptional costs and a friendly estimate without survey on a system too big for my roof is a notional payback of 7 years?
Good grief.
The web site gives the cost of a 2Kw system at £12K and an income of £933pa. Others have said £12k is too high and it should be £10k. It doesn't matter, even at £10k the payback is 11 years. And that's without any assumptions about maintenance or electrical degradation.
I'm simply not interested in a payback of 11 years - anything could go wrong in that time; including the subsidy being pulled or my roof needing replacing. (I've never stayed in the same house for longer that 5 years - and please don't talk to me about bonds.....)
It's a con.
Given that the numbers don't work in the sunny south, they're not going to improve by going North ;-)
So your very best shot in ideal conditions with no exceptional costs and a friendly estimate without survey on a system too big for my roof is a notional payback of 7 years?
Maybe you can't afford it, no worries, leave it to the ones that can!
Cheers Will![]()
Don't get me wrong, this is a fantastic scam and will attract every fly by night toe rag sales guy in the UK. The manufacturers will make a fortune and not have to do the hard work of making products that are actually cost effective - all nicely subsidized by the taxpayer, bless him.
The sales guys that currently peddle double glazing, conservatories and telecom resellers will get really busy conning pensioners again. Yup, it's a gold mine for the cowboys.
And that last sentence of yours tells it all doesn't it? of all the nasty little sales patters that one is down there with the whale poop. Congrats.
The returns are locked in a 25 year deal. PM me and give me your address (not specifically is you dont want, postcode is fine) and the orientation of your property. I will provide the GUARANTEED returns. Put your money where your mouth is. Gie me £10k, ill turn it into £30k for you.
do you really think a deal like that is going to hold good once diddy David and his merry men take a look at it.?
Taxpayer scams are not exactly flavour of the month.
As Eaton boy said we is looking for good value for the taxpayer and solar electricity generation energy certainly is not in the UK.
Earl
As the creator of heatmyhome.co.uk I have 8 years experience with solar.
PV solar does work well within the UK environment and this has been proved by generous government incentives. Germany has a similar climate to the UK and they are 15 years ahead in terms of solar uptake. It was a train journey to Sallzberg which made me see so many solar panels on roofs that I first got into this technology in the first place.
You can see the solar radiation map for the UK:
heatmyhome.co.uk/solar-panel/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=111
I hope this clear up this matter.
What basis are you making this assumption on? The numbers very much DO work in the south, and granted the rate of return on investment is not as substantial in the North and espeically Scotland.
The returns are locked in a 25 year deal. PM me and give me your address (not specifically is you dont want, postcode is fine) and the orientation of your property. I will provide the GUARANTEED returns. Put your money where your mouth is. Gie me £10k, ill turn it into £30k for you.
Red flag time: What matters to investors is a credible financial return and reliable ROI. No one's going to invest based on 'bandwagon' or current fad. The words that concern me here are "I believe". You need to prove and demonstrate and convince. While believing in your product is important, investors are in it only for cold hard cash. They wouldn't give a hoot for your personal ideology and preferences.I believe I can get investors interested in larger commercial projects too but one step at a time.
Has PV technology moved on that much in the last 3 years? I used to be involved in pricing and installing PV membranes and one of the main problems were that units only lasted 10-15 years. Has this changed now? I'm genuinely interested as the technology was always of huge interest to me.
UK Feed-in Tariffs for PV are calculated for an economic lifetime of 25 years, indicating that the Department of Energy and Climate Change believes that panels will produce for at least that long. The warranty conditions for PV panels typically guarantee that panels can still produce at least 80% of their initial rated peak output after 20 (or sometimes 25) years. So manufactures expect that their panels last at least 20 years, and that the efficiency decreases by no more than 1% per year.
Red flag time: What matters to investors is a credible financial return and reliable ROI. No one's going to invest based on 'bandwagon' or current fad. The words that concern me here are "I believe". You need to prove and demonstrate and convince. While believing in your product is important, investors are in it only for cold hard cash. They wouldn't give a hoot for your personal ideology and preferences.
Don't be fooled by that, insurance is part based on the real life expectancy of the product and the actual likelihood of a claim. With long policies like these the insurer is probably only expecting 10 years of real life - after that they rely on people not knowing they have policies, not finding policies, people having moved house, etc etc.
But all of that is bull - the biggest risk is the business model which relies entirely on an artificial subsidy of an exceptionally non-cost effective product. As soon as the subsidy disappears, the industry disappears.
Looking through google to find unbiased information on the viability of panels .I was amazed ( well not really ) to find a huge amount of companies singing there praises of course they all were in the business of selling the bleeding things.
But nothing on the real viability of the panels.
My experience is that when everyone jumps on the bandwagon its usually easy money or a scam.
apparently 10% efficiency is about right for scotland over a year.
and no one has tested them over a 20 year period .prices about £700 fo 210 watts on the sunniest day of the year.
its a govenment condoned scam nothing less as other citizens are paying to susidise the few ,not cricket.IMHO
Earl
and no one has tested them over a 20 year period .prices about £700 fo 210 watts on the sunniest day of the year.
Hello Steve,
I clearly don't have your posting history and you are welcome to your opinion and God knows you seem to have enough of it but please don't assume you can teach me anything about business or an investors criteria.
You do not know me and you know nothing of my background or experience.
If I want to get involved in this sector its none of your concern, however for the record if I didn't think there was the potential of a viable business in this sector, I wouldnt waste my time. Additionally as I infer in my post 'investors' would/could follow but this would only happen when I have proof positive that there an is a risk-assessed investment opportunity. Proof positive in my book includes innovation, demand, supply, profit and longevity amongst other markers.
I have dealt with investors over a 25 year career and I'm very aware of the many criteria that motivate them and with respect I do not need your input, thank you.
My query specifically requests information from Morganian (while it was asked in open forum) I thought it would be clear it was addressed to the OP, I also asked if we could carry on any further discussion by pm.
Otherwise I might have worded it: Can anyone on this string please provide me ...advice on 'amongst other things' avoiding mistakes and best practice.....
I have no wish to be drawn into this debate, I have already made up my mind.
So Morganian if you would like to answer we could continue discussions by pm, or personal email addresses with a view to sharing experience and potential projects.
Regards, Jim.
Simply not true Earl.
Solar technology has been around for decades.
Here's a comprehensive study on a 1982 installation which used much older technology than is available today.
http://www.isaac.supsi.ch/isaac/pub...fp - mean time before failure (mtbf) 2003.pdf
Well he ain't gonna say there a load of crap and make himself unemployed now is he.?
10% of the claimed output.
A friend gave up installing the panels after many years as to many complaints about there performance.
Untill you can power a house for 10k outlay its not viable.IMHO
Earl
Do you have a humble opinion about anything?
Well he ain't gonna say there a load of crap and make himself unemployed now is he.?![]()
10% of the claimed output.
Earl
its a govenment condoned scam nothing less as other citizens are paying to susidise the few ,not cricket.IMHO
If the business case depends heavily on decades of heavy government investment (in a new era of financial austerity), I'd say that it's very relevant from a business perspective.Given that the government backed incentives have gone ahead, despite the fact that many would share your view, whether it was or wasn't a good idea is an irrelevance from a business or home-owners perspective.
If the business case depends heavily on decades of heavy government investment (in a new era of financial austerity), I'd say that it's very relevant from a business perspective.
So basically, that's a number you just invented for effect :|
Yeah I know what you mean.
I just can't help being honest.
Earl
Earl, do you actually have any experience of Solar Pv?.
In fact most things you comment on seem to be little, selective titbits scraped from the web!
Next time you are tootling down a country lane in your Austin Allegro Vanden Plas and you see a little sign start flashing up warning you of iminent danger, thus saving your little life, think again about solar not working in this country.
Feed-in-tariff example calculation
A family installs a solar PV array with a maximum output of 2.5 kW on their existing unshaded south-facing roof. The system costs £14,000, this includes a 25 year warranty extension for the inverter unit (inverters are unlikely to last 25 years without replacement or repairs). The roof produces around 2,000 kWh of electricity per year. They use 50% of the electricity directly at the time when it is produced and sell the other 50% on to the grid. They can expect to receive:
Total electricity produced:
2,000 kWh x 41.3p/kWh generation tariff: £826
Electricity sold to the grid:1,000 kWh x 3p/kWh export tariff: £30
Electricity used directly: 1,000 kWh x 12p/kWh electricity savings:£120
Total annual income:£976
The scheme will pay its cost back in 15 years and generate income for at least 25 years.
A fifteen year payback on your original investment assuming that nothing goes wrong or changes. I'm out.