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As an aside . . . Tesla evidently have some Cash Problems - Deciding to reduce the price in the the UK by £9,000! Quite rightly, those who purchased at the Full Price are a little 'Cheesed-Off!' BMW also took a knock recently too, as numerous Police Forces decided NOT to buy any more! There are problems with the 3.0 Litre Diesel Engine catching fire, which have been unresolved.
Ah, so 'Hubris' is Polite Term for 'Bullsh1t?'Apparently, the new Teslas are going to run entirely off the hubris generated by Elon Musk's tweets.
And what is the waiting timeAs an aside . . . Tesla evidently have some Cash Problems - Deciding to reduce the price in the the UK by £9,000! Quite rightly, those who purchased at the Full Price are a little 'Cheesed-Off!' BMW also took a knock recently too, as numerous Police Forces decided NOT to buy any more! There are problems with the 3.0 Litre Diesel Engine catching fire, which have been unresolved.
the robot or AI cant replace all jobs but it will replace some of work that has repetitive tasks in it.@hg5guy - I've heard all this before. I fact I have been hearing that progress and automation will mean the end of work as we know it for decades. No doubt, similar nonsense lead to the Luddite riots in 1811.
AI is not going to replace any workplaces - but it certainly will change many workplaces. Just as steam-driven weaving looms replaced hand looms and tractors replaced horses, so AI will replace boring and repetitive office tasks and free staff up to become more creative thereby more productive.
Work changes and the very nature of work changes. Television did not replace the cinema and there are more films being made today than at any time in history. Tractors did not replace the horse and there are more horses today in the UK than back before the agricultural revolution.
We are in this mess not because of too much automation or global this that or the other, but because governments almost everywhere are in the hands of the dogmatic and the incompetent. That is our fault. We are stupid enough to allow total idiots to run this and most other countries and run the systems within them.
Not just the politicians - the civil servants, the central bankers, these people defend their desks and their wasteful ways. We allowed them to drop the gold standard because we didn't care and we were not paying attention. We allowed them to print money and deliberately create inflation instead of cutting government spending because we didn't care enough and we were not paying attention.
The government does not have to do everything - that is just (1) absurd and (2) wasteful.
The government does not have to care for the elderly or run the health systems. Elsewhere, social insurance run by friendly societies and charities do those tasks better and cheaper than bureaucrats.
But fret not! It's coming to an end soon!
The OBR’s latest forecast is for net debt to reach £2,571bn by March 2023 and to approach £3tn by March 2028. November’s £22bn deficit was £14bn higher than the £8bn deficit reported for November last year and was £8bn more than the previous month (October 2022).
The OBR revised its forecast last month with the Autumn Statement and now estimates that the deficit will reach £177bn for 2022/23.
A debt event horizon looms over this ship of fools. All that fresh borrowing is now index-linked. The more they borrow fresh money into existence, the higher the inflation. The higher the inflation, the larger the deficit, so the more they borrow.
Enjoy the spectacle of the lasting depression - it will bring with it great opportunities for businesses that are quick to react and are prepared for what is to come!
Oh dear, what a naive assessment of economics.Minimum wages increase the price of goods, and it all nets out. Useless.
There's nothing more naive and simplistic than believing that higher wages have no consequences.Oh dear, what a naive assessment of economics.
If you pay min wage and it goes up by 10% do your other inputs also rise 10% (or less or more) do you raise your prices by 10% (or less or more), do your workers see an overall rise in their expenditure of 10% (or less or more)Minimum wages increase the price of goods, and it all nets out. Useless.
As I said to the OP...If you pay min wage and it goes up by 10% do your other inputs also rise 10% (or less or more) do you raise your prices by 10% (or less or more), do your workers see an overall rise in their expenditure of 10% (or less or more)
That is actually the question
Some of your inputs may rise if they themselves are produced in the UK using uk labour
It is unlikely if you are a profitable company that a 10% rise in hourly labour costs will make you raise your prices by 10% to maintain the same profit.
It is unlikely your staffs entire wages go on goods & services which are directly connected to the cost of labour (for example their gas bill and rent are dependent upon totally different supply/demand calculations not wedded to labour costs)
If you work through that you will see that usually a rise in pay of 10% will not cause economy wide 10% inflation and will leave low paid workers with slightly more £, which they would most likely feel in their pocket and spend in the economy increasing the velocity of money (not being patronising it is just a proven fact that those less well off spend a greater proportion of any effective payrise more immediately whilst those better off on average are more likely to invest it/save it/ squirrel it away which helps the economy less)
You are parroting and not thinking.There's nothing more naive and simplistic than believing that higher wages have no consequences.
Higher wages cause inflation; higher wages mean lower-skilled people cannot compete and are priced out of the job market (and lose the ability to gain skills), jobs move offshore, and industry declines.
People like you have a lot to answer for.
Iif it is wage rises that cause inflation, why was there high inflation when there had not been wage rises?As I said to the OP...
You are parroting and not thinking.
Long term, both of your adopted ideologies lead to lower living standards for us all.
There are consequences, but not quite in the manner you may imagine. Let's dissect some of your assumptions -There's nothing more naive and simplistic than believing that higher wages have no consequences.
This is not true - indeed it is a well-known and much-discussed economic fallacy. If the poor have higher wages, they spend that additional income and thereby boost the economy. The multiplier effect for higher wages for the poor is many times greater than for the wealthy.Higher wages cause inflation;
This bit is true.higher wages mean lower-skilled people cannot compete and are priced out of the job market (and lose the ability to gain skills),
And this bit is true. The better alternative is to automate those low-paid jobs - however, UK industries have shown themselves to be lead by very short-term thinking people who want (or possibly, because of share-price pressure, need) to see instant solutions rather than to go for long term (5 yrs plus) investment. Who the hell needs a robotic sweeping machine for the yard, when we can just give poor old Angus a broom and bucket and £10 an hour?jobs move offshore,
The true solution is the restructuring of UK industry - though that is more of a philosophical task than a managerial one. At the moment, UK industry (including the service industries) almost look at P&L results quarter-by-quarter. Ask the average manager where he/she thinks the company should be in 100 years time and they will think you are totally out of your mind to ask such a wild question.and industry declines.
The other alternatives(and by the way I do have a degree in economics and 29 year working in recruitment related industry) are that eitherAs I said to the OP...
You are parroting and not thinking.
Long term, both of your adopted ideologies lead to lower living standards for us all.
you posted that whilst i was writing similar less wellThere are consequences, but not quite in the manner you may imagine. Let's dissect some of your assumptions -
This is not true - indeed it is a well-known and much-discussed economic fallacy. If the poor have higher wages, they spend that additional income and thereby boost the economy. The multiplier effect for higher wages for the poor is many times greater than for the wealthy.
Remember that inflation is created by governments and central banks issuing more currency than the economy can handle. Giving the poor additional wages can actually help to dampen inflation.
This bit is true.
And this bit is true. The better alternative is to automate those low-paid jobs - however, UK industries have shown themselves to be lead by very short-term thinking people who want (or possibly, because of share-price pressure, need) to see instant solutions rather than to go for long term (5 yrs plus) investment. Who the hell needs a robotic sweeping machine for the yard, when we can just give poor old Angus a broom and bucket and £10 an hour?
The true solution is the restructuring of UK industry - though that is more of a philosophical task than a managerial one. At the moment, UK industry (including the service industries) almost look at P&L results quarter-by-quarter. Ask the average manager where he/she thinks the company should be in 100 years time and they will think you are totally out of your mind to ask such a wild question.
Now ask a Japanese, Chinese or even a German manager and he/she will have an answer. It is a question they have given considerable thought to!
When I was running a trade news agency in Germany, that was the kind of question I would expect our reporters to ask. It was asked of the CEO of Bosch and he not only had an answer, but pointed out that it was a question that Robert Bosch had found an answer to before the war (he made it a not-for-profit charity with only 8% owned by the Bosch family).
When Aldi and Lidl moved into the UK in the 90s, they were following a carefully honed and self-financing campaign plan that they had perfected in other countries and both know where they want to be in 100 years time (in every country on Earth and doing more than just retailing).
When I asked the head of BT where he thought his company would be in 100 years time, he thought it was a silly question. He just shrugged his shoulders and said "Who knows!"
And he was right. BT was then - and still is - a political animal and could be broken up tomorrow, or sold off, or just about anything could happen to it. UK politics likes to interfere in industry where it has no business to stick its nose in.
Politicians, Unions and the media cannot think further than their noses.UK politics likes to interfere in industry where it has no business to stick its nose in.
Strictly speaking, I think people should adjust their lifestyle re. kids etc to their earnings, however, I prefer to supplement earnings via employment rather than exclusively via benefits so on balance, i support UC.Thanks.
My 1st question is,
I read a lot of people saying that it is crazy that Universal Credit is used to subsidise low wages.
Do you think it is wrong that Universal Credit is used to subsidise low wages or do you think it is a good idea/system? Edit to add: Or something in-between.
Exactly, the employer does not decide on the employee's lifestyle.Different members of staff have different circumstances.
The pay for one member of staff (call them A) may be perfectly acceptable and enough for them to have a very comfortable lifestyle.
They exact same pay for another member of staff (call them B) may mean they are on the breadline and have to use foodbanks and top ups from the state.
Are you saying the pay rate should be determined by person B?
Strictly speaking, I think people should adjust their lifestyle re. kids etc to their earnings, however, I prefer to supplement earnings via employment rather than exclusively via benefits so on balance, i support UC.
UBI is a strange one, it seems a great idea but I think we've seen the issues where we hear those on strike.The whole point of UBI is that it's universal and not means-tested.
So if say a huge factory closes down leaving 3000 out of work, all the parents should sell at least one kid?
There will always be a requirement for various benefits, but I am surprised many still cannot see UC and WTC hold salaries down, at the employers benefit.
If an employer knows someone will get £5k pa on WTC or UC for instance, if they pay £20k pa for a job, or the employer could pay £25k pa for the same job but the worker gets £0 WTC or UC, which salary do you think the employer is going to offer?
The employer gets a worker for £5k pa less, they are happy. The Gov gets control over another potential voter, they are happy. The worker gets the same, but less of the tax amount to spend on improving the country, whilst so much goes to keeping them trapped on benefits.
The figures are made up but the principle is still valid.
The profit levels aren't any of the employee's business. The wage paid is the market rate.Absolutely. Provided the employer is paying a reasonable rate, bearing in mind their profit levels.
I'm not sure about profit levels.No, the pay should be the appropriate rate for the job, bearing in mind the profit level of the employer.
My first para was meant to deal with the fact that different peoples' needs differ.
Not necesarilyIf your huge factory closes down leaving 3000 out of work, it suggests that wage demands were too high anyway regardless of any pending kid sales.
The profit levels aren't any of the employee's business. The wage paid is the market rate.
Personally, i'd always offer a profit share to employees to incentivise but the business owners take all the risk and should be rewarded first and foremost.
It depends on your attitude to the role of employees. You only made that profit because of the work of your employees, should they not have some benefot from it?I'm not sure about profit levels.
If I've invented a new phone that will outsell apple & android, I get together some people to make the circuit boards, assemble and pack. I've paid those guys 50p more than Apple to come to work with me and presumably, they see that as a good deal as they have applied to work for me.
I take the mobile phone world by storm and make a fortune, haven't the employees already seen the benefit by being paid over market rate when the decided to leave Apple etc?
I don't think anyone is suggesting that wage increases alone cause inflation. However, wage increases are certainly part of inflationary pressures.Iif it is wage rises that cause inflation, why was there high inflation when there had not been wage rises?
I was being slightly flippant, factories close for a number of reasons, but usually it does come down to the product being too expensive or not being good enough.Not necesarily
Did Honda shut Swindon works due to wages ?
What about British Steel shutting coking works in Scunthope ?
For a large number of industries labour is just 1 factor in profitability, so the demands of the staff are irrelevant
As I said in a previous post, I'd usually incentivise the employees via a profit share or other goal-concurrent bonus scheme.It depends on your attitude to the role of employees. You only made that profit because of the work of your employees, should they not have some benefot from it?
In addition, you are talking about an extreme example. How about a major supermarket that pays its employees minimum wage while makiing increasingly large profits every year?
Wages are paid at the market rate as a function of the employees skills and their ability to produce. Wages may well be diminished due to things like staff loyalty or fear of moving etc but in a fully mobile workforce, wages should be at the market rate.The falicy in this argument is the wages paid are never the market rate, due to the benefits effecting the “market rate.”
Benefits are a necessity, an unfortunate one, but I still maintain employers will take benefits into account when looking at a salary figure, just as the job seeker does as well. I have lost count at the number of people stating they “have” to work x hours a week, to ensure they keep receiving certain benefits. Do I blame them for demanding this? Not in the slightest.
Could anyone suggest an employer does not have the intelligence of the lowest worker? If they take benefit payments into their decision making on what job at what rate for x hours a week to take, why would an employer not consider what lower salary they can offer based on the benefit top ups? Having spoken to thousands of employers over five decades, I know this is a fact. It is just the way things are atm.
Anyway, we will have to agree to disagree.
That is true for a small entrepreneurial company but not for a multinational where the R&D dept is staffed by employees as is the marketing department and even the finance dept seeking out funding / finance.As I said in a previous post, I'd usually incentivise the employees via a profit share or other goal-concurrent bonus scheme.
However, "You only made that profit because of the work of your employees" is one way of looking at it, the employees have only got paid in the first place to to my genius in design, inventiveness and marketing prowess + my risk-taking in setting up the business in the first place.
If business owners don't get that premium, they may as well not bother with the risk and work for the local council with a cushy pension and no pressure.
Ken Murphy isn't the owner, merely another employee who's Bonus scheme is a goal concurrent scheme based on the overall business success. I would suggest Brenda Miggins also receives a bonus based on performance relevant to her role.That is true for a small entrepreneurial company but not for a multinational where the R&D dept is staffed by employees as is the marketing department and even the finance dept seeking out funding / finance.
Is Ken Murphy at Tesco or Gerd Chrzanowski at Lidl really the reason for their profits and as such should the majority of the profit bonuses go to them not Brenda Miggins the really friendly checkout lady in Biggleswade ?
After 27 years in recruitment i disagreeWages are paid at the market rate as a function of the employees skills and their ability to produce. Wages may well be diminished due to things like staff loyalty or fear of moving etc but in a fully mobile workforce, wages should be at the market rate.
Employers tend to work on the value the employee brings to the table and the amount they can charge in the market. i.e if the labour element of an item is £10 and the margin required is 40%, that element has to be able to achieve 16.66 in the market place.
Some will take that view, I don't think it's the norm.After 27 years in recruitment i disagree
A lot of employers work on "how little can i get away with to staff my company", they dont think Fred brings in £30k of value i will therefore pay him £20k + 5k of costs, they think "Will Fred take £18k, if so I have £2k extra (or £2k to offer someone else to get them).
That is where benefits do depress wages as Fred's ability to accept 18 not 20 is dependant upon a number of factors including benefits and personal outgoings
I think i have more experience of this than you and more often than not the salary guidance was "as much as it takes and as little as we can get away with".Some will take that view, I don't think it's the norm.
You are in recruitment so you may be right but the recruiter is also incentivised to pay as little a recruitment fee so that "as much as it takes and as little as we can get away with" would apply to the first 3 months of the recruitment,I think i have more experience of this than you and more often than not the salary guidance was "as much as it takes and as little as we can get away with".
After 27 years in recruitment i disagree
A lot of employers work on "how little can i get away with to staff my company", they dont think Fred brings in £30k of value i will therefore pay him £20k + 5k of costs, they think "Will Fred take £18k, if so I have £2k extra (or £2k to offer someone else to get them).
That's correct but you demonstrate the market working.A personal example, but one that stuck with myself.
I went for a reps job many years ago as several friends did, this was a large new company recruiting nationwide several positions. My friends and myself all had similar experience, and we all worked for the same company (a competitor) at the time.
Three of us got the job, I however got paid £5k pa more than the other two, plus I got a BMW not a Ford Orion as my company car. I also got my home phone bill paid for, worth £60 a quarter, well, it was forty odd years ago.
The only difference between us at the interview? I lied better about my “salary”, bonuses, and had “hired” the BMW for the day, stating I couldn’t consider moving for a worse car.
Companies obviously try and pay as little as possible when recruiting new staff, they would be stupid to do otherwise.