All the indications are nothing much is going to change here until Easter.
It seems that my bargain flights for Easter that I bagged within minutes of them going on sale last September are going to end up a false economy
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All the indications are nothing much is going to change here until Easter.
TalkRadio just reported that 25% of people being admitted to hospital are under 55.
Now some people will say : There ! It's not just older people ! We must keep up restrictions until everyone is vaccinated ! !
TBH I am amazed it's only 25% :
1 - Far more people under 55 will have been exposed to Covid than older people, particularly over 65s (many of whom are retired), that's just obvious.
2 - Many more under 55s have to go out to work.
3 - Far fewer under 55s will be self isolating. Furthermore it's just human nature that people at less risk will be less careful about social distancing etc, and older people will be more careful.
4 - That 25% figure will include those with serious existing health conditions, they are higher up in the vaccine pecking order.
5 - Hardly anyone under 55s will have had the vaccine
6 - Under 55s constitute about 70% of the UK population
So, bearing all the above in mind, if only 25% of those admitted to hospital are under 55 I am amazed it's that low.
LOL. I wrote nothing about the virus, about building antibodies, sickness, death, percentage of population vaccinated etc., You've introduced all sorts of angles for reasons unknown!!
Go back and read my first post again which simply referenced a scientists opinion that the body may not retain a high level of antibodies. T-cell immunity and the bodies memory is a different thing altogether, but counting antibody levels is, in the opinion of the scientist, a poor way of assessing immunity.
You really are getting desperate to try and play down Covid aren't you?
TalkRadio just reported that 25% of people being admitted to hospital are under 55.
Now some people will say : There ! It's not just older people ! We must keep up restrictions until everyone is vaccinated ! !
TBH I am amazed it's only 25% :
1 - Far more people under 55 will have been exposed to Covid than older people, particularly over 65s (many of whom are retired), that's just obvious.
2 - Many more under 55s have to go out to work.
3 - Far fewer under 55s will be self isolating. Furthermore it's just human nature that people at less risk will be less careful about social distancing etc, and older people will be more careful.
4 - That 25% figure will include those with serious existing health conditions, they are higher up in the vaccine pecking order.
5 - Hardly anyone under 55s will have had the vaccine
6 - Under 55s constitute about 70% of the UK population
So, bearing all the above in mind, if only 25% of those admitted to hospital are under 55 I am amazed it's that low.
I am not playing down Covid, it is just that the government are in full exaggeration scare propaganda mode to "increase compliance". Nobody can deny that though some might say that is a legitimate tactic. I would not for three reasons :
1 - I do not like being misled (or actually lied to : "that person in the park is highly likely to have Covid")
2 - It will backfire on them as more and more people lose trust in them
3 - The most significant, they have got so many people so scared that they will want to keep many of these measures for far longer than necessary, and some possibly forever. That directly affects me and makes me very angry.
Is it really wise to accept orders from the prime minister of England, a compulsive liar, a man who seemingly uses a toffee apple to comb his hair?
I am not playing down Covid, it is just that the government are in full exaggeration scare propaganda mode to "increase compliance". Nobody can deny that though some might say that is a legitimate tactic. I would not for three reasons :
1 - I do not like being misled (or actually lied to : "that person in the park is highly likely to have Covid")
2 - It will backfire on them as more and more people lose trust in them
3 - The most significant, they have got so many people so scared that they will want to keep many of these measures for far longer than necessary, and some possibly forever. That directly affects me and makes me very angry.
What methods should government be doing to increase compliance?
Are you scared enough????
Judging by the media reports, some are not in any way scared. Some like you want to have a normal life - and others will pay for that.
150 people at a wedding? Odds are that someone will have the virus and pass it on. How many people at a wedding do in a hall can catch it at the event? More than if they were shopping, exercising outdoors etc while maintaining social distance, mask wearing etc.
Britain is actually a pretty good place. You can do what you want much of the time - just with some things if you get caught you pay a fine, go to court, get arrested etc.
I am not playing down Covid, it is just that the government are in full exaggeration scare propaganda mode to "increase compliance". Nobody can deny that though some might say that is a legitimate tactic. I would not for three reasons :
1 - I do not like being misled (or actually lied to : "that person in the park is highly likely to have Covid")
2 - It will backfire on them as more and more people lose trust in them
3 - The most significant, they have got so many people so scared that they will want to keep many of these measures for far longer than necessary, and some possibly forever. That directly affects me and makes me very angry.
It seems that my bargain flights for Easter that I bagged within minutes of them going on sale last September are going to end up a false economy
But they are following the science, until the science says something that contradicts the decisions they have made. The WHO, Pfizer and now a number of doctors have said they should not use a 12 week gap. But it seems obvious that, if 1 dose gives 90% immunity and the second only increases it to 95%, giving 1 dose to twice as many people will give double the immunity in the population. Until the mock scientists who are our politicians realise that the immunity from the first dose does not last and delaying the second dose may mean it is ineffective.A little concerning that the extended timeline of 12 weeks for the second vaccine dose does not comply with the test results that were produced with a 21 day gap.
I'm not a conspiracy theorist but decisions like this are akin to baking a cake at gas mark 2 when the packet says gas mark 7. Common sense dictates etc.,
But they are following the science, until the science says something that contradicts the decisions they have made. The WHO, Pfizer and now a number of doctors have said they should not use a 12 week gap. But it seems obvious that, if 1 dose gives 90% immunity and the second only increases it to 95%, giving 1 dose to twice as many people will give double the immunity in the population. Until the mock scientists who are our politicians realise that the immunity from the first dose does not last and delaying the second dose may mean it is ineffective.
And we (generally, I don't mean I) voted for this bunch of ignorant, arrogant liars.
My flights to Seville in April got cancelled last week.
now just waiting for the money back. Experience has taught me (flights to Plama, Prague & Barcelona cancelled last year, all EasyJet) is that you fill in the form and wait and, at or around the date the flight was due to go, you get the cash back.)
Still hopeful that my trip to Greece this summer will still go ahead ...
And, if you get the chance, have a drink on the terrace of the parador at Carmona.I think you've got a chance with Greece in the summer.
In your favour:
It's summer - less transmission of Covid
Greece will be desperate for you to travel
So will Easyjet (if they are still operating)
Ps Seville is an amazing city. Rebook when you get the chance (assuming it was going to be your first time)
My flights to Seville in April got cancelled last week.
now just waiting for the money back. Experience has taught me (flights to Plama, Prague & Barcelona cancelled last year, all EasyJet) is that you fill in the form and wait and, at or around the date the flight was due to go, you get the cash back.)
Still hopeful that my trip to Greece this summer will still go ahead ...
I think you've got a chance with Greece in the summer.
In your favour:
It's summer - less transmission of Covid
Greece will be desperate for you to travel
So will Easyjet (if they are still operating)
Ps Seville is an amazing city. Rebook when you get the chance (assuming it was going to be your first time)
That is impossible on any level (Covid or non Covid), and to try to achieve absolute safety for everyone is a sure sign of absolute lunacy.
You can of course do the opposite of what he tells you.
Does not mean you will survive this though.
When he told you the NHS was under pressure - a lie or the truth?
When he told you the country was going into lockdown - a lie or the truth?
When he told you that exercise outside was allowed - a lie or the truth?
Perhaps he has lied to you, perhaps you heard what you wanted to hear rather than the words he was using.
Some stuff he hasn't lied to you - can you tell which?
No..you can't tell which...because he contradicts himself within a single speech.
NHS under pressure - it is a lot of the time and they did have pandemic planning in place but it seems to have been ignored. The NHS is woefully mis-managed and that comes from the top.
Lockdown - nobody knows if it's a lockdown or not, it's supposed to be, plenty of people having parties and out and about as normal. Lots of people still working, nurseries still open, builders working, estate agents still working etc.
Exercise outside - kind of, you can go 7 miles on a bike but you cannot drive to a location to exercise, unless, maybe you can, depending on if you can or not.
Guidance issued, actual law is different to guidance, police don't know which one to follow. They can follow the law and stop everyone from going out at all or they can follow the guidance and allow people to exercise locally, if it's local, but maybe it's not local, unless it is local. Is 1 mile local or 2? The PM seems to believe it's around 7 miles.
Obviously, I use my common sense and stay within my local area. I rarely drive anywhere and fit in a shop on the same journey. It's not that simple for others though.
I can remember at the start of this pandemic the WHO saying the most important weapon in a government's arsenal [against Covid] is trust [as in the people trusting it], and they are undoubtedly right.
Now, I don't know whether this new "Kent" variant is more deadly than the previous one or not. But, unfortunately, I do not fully trust the government after their repeated attempts to keep the fear factor up ("to encourage compliance"). I do not think they lie, I just think they present distorted information.
Why do I think that ?
Well :
1 - "This virus is indiscriminate" (it quite plainly is not)
2 - "Long Covid" (it affects between in 1 in 50 and 1 in 60 and is defined as any symptom however mild still l being experienced 3 months after infection, then they surreptitiously changed the definition to after 2 months so as to increase the numbers . More than once I have had viral infections which I still haven't fully shaken off after a couple of months, it is common)
3 - Government advert "that person in the park is highly likely to have Covid" (the actual chance is about 1 in 40 to 1 in 50)
4 - The BBC [not the government, but they're all singing from the same hymn sheet at the moment] constantly report about young people in hospital when most of those dying in hospital are older. Even worse the Beeb having as their lead item of news a man telling the heart rending tale of watching his wife die of Covid (it is very sad and many people are dying, but that "story" is arguably not even news, it certainly should not be lead item on the BBC News website, unless they are pushing the "fear" agenda, particularly to younger people).
I am not a conspiracy theorist, people are dying, we should be locked down for a few weeks till the top 15 million are vaccinated, but the above mentioned points are all demonstrably misleading or tendentious.
Nice of the Govt (and the Beeb) to prove me right so quickly.....
"Full scare propaganda mode" :
1 - The scientists responsible for the report BoJo was using to say the new variant of Covid "was more deadly" are rowing back on it. They're saying he jumped the gun, they're not actually so sure it is yet. It might be, but the point is the Govt, as they have all the way through, have exaggerated and been overly pessimistic so as to promote fear "to ensure compliance". Nobody can reasonably deny that.
2 - On the Beeb tonight "Record numbers are on ventilation" [in hospital].
Yes they're right, but they don't mention that Covid hospitalisations have been going down for three days. Yet more pessimistic fear propaganda (but I'm sure some on here will still click unimpressed even though I'm just quoting facts) :
https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/healthcare
Vaccinated (first dose & second dose) :
18 Jan = 4.06M & 452K
19 Jan = 4.27M & 456K
20 Jan = 4.61M & 461K
21 Jan = 4.97M & 464K
22 Jan = 5.38M & 467K
23 Jan = 5.86M & 469K
Hospitalised :
18 Jan = 37.5K
19 Jan = 38.5K
20 Jan = 39.1K
21 Jan = 38.7K
22 Jan = 38.5K
23 Jan = 37.9K
On ventilation :
18 Jan = 3.8K
19 Jan = 3.9K
20 Jan = 3.9K
21 Jan = 4.0K
22 Jan = 4.0K
23 Jan = 4.1K
Is it any wonder I take anything the Govt say about Covid with a MASSIVE pinch of salt ?
It must be awful for them, and I bet they are feeling very let down.
Nice of the Govt (and the Beeb) to prove me right so quickly.....
"Full scare propaganda mode" :
1 - The scientists responsible for the report BoJo was using to say the new variant of Covid "was more deadly" are rowing back on it. They're saying he jumped the gun, they're not actually so sure it is yet. It might be, but the point is the Govt, as they have all the way through, have exaggerated and been overly pessimistic so as to promote fear "to ensure compliance". Nobody can reasonably deny that.
2 - On the Beeb tonight "Record numbers are on ventilation" [in hospital].
Yes they're right, but they don't mention that Covid hospitalisations have been going down for three days. Yet more pessimistic fear propaganda (but I'm sure some on here will still click unimpressed even though I'm just quoting facts) :
https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/healthcare
Vaccinated (first dose & second dose) :
18 Jan = 4.06M & 452K
19 Jan = 4.27M & 456K
20 Jan = 4.61M & 461K
21 Jan = 4.97M & 464K
22 Jan = 5.38M & 467K
23 Jan = 5.86M & 469K
Hospitalised :
18 Jan = 37.5K
19 Jan = 38.5K
20 Jan = 39.1K
21 Jan = 38.7K
22 Jan = 38.5K
23 Jan = 37.9K
On ventilation :
18 Jan = 3.8K
19 Jan = 3.9K
20 Jan = 3.9K
21 Jan = 4.0K
22 Jan = 4.0K
23 Jan = 4.1K
Is it any wonder I take anything the Govt say about Covid with a MASSIVE pinch of salt ?
I am not playing down Covid, it is just that the government are in full exaggeration scare propaganda mode to "increase compliance". Nobody can deny that though some might say that is a legitimate tactic. I would not for three reasons :
1 - I do not like being misled (or actually lied to : "that person in the park is highly likely to have Covid")
2 - It will backfire on them as more and more people lose trust in them
3 - The most significant, they have got so many people so scared that they will want to keep many of these measures for far longer than necessary, and some possibly forever. That directly affects me and makes me very angry.
"Full scare propaganda mode".
On the Beeb text service just now : a story about a year old woman teacher who dies with Covid.
Now, don't get me wrong that is incredibly sad, she hasn't even lived a third of her life, awful......
BUT, someone of that age dying of Covid is very rare, particularly a woman even if she had a serious existing condition, though the article made no mention of any existing health conditions so (unless the article basically purposely misleading) one can assume she had none.
We all know why that story was on there don't we ?
Scaring people, especially younger people, "to encourage compliance".
If one was really cynical, and over this I am, there is even a possibility it's softening us up to expect loads pf restrictions for months after the vulnerable have all been isolated "because look, young people are dying with Covid".
Trust in the government, and their mouthpiece teh BBC, I don't think so.
"Full scare propaganda mode".
On the Beeb text service just now : a story about a year old woman teacher who dies with Covid.
Now, don't get me wrong that is incredibly sad, she hasn't even lived a third of her life, awful......
BUT, someone of that age dying of Covid is very rare, particularly a woman even if she had a serious existing condition, though the article made no mention of any existing health conditions so (unless the article basically purposely misleading) one can assume she had none.
We all know why that story was on there don't we ?
Scaring people, especially younger people, "to encourage compliance".
If one was really cynical, and over this I am, there is even a possibility it's softening us up to expect loads pf restrictions for months after the vulnerable have all been isolated "because look, young people are dying with Covid".
Trust in the government, and their mouthpiece teh BBC, I don't think so.
"Full scare propaganda mode".
On the Beeb text service just now : a story about a 25 year old woman teacher who dies with Covid.
Now, don't get me wrong that is incredibly sad, she hasn't even lived a third of her life, awful......
BUT, someone of that age dying of Covid is very rare, particularly a woman even if she had a serious existing condition, though the article made no mention of any existing health conditions so (unless the article basically purposely misleading) one can assume she had none.
We all know why that story was on there don't we ?
Scaring people, especially younger people, "to encourage compliance".
If one was really cynical, and over this I am, there is even a possibility it's softening us up to expect loads pf restrictions for months after the vulnerable have all been isolated "because look, young people are dying with Covid".
Trust in the government, and their mouthpiece teh BBC, I don't think so.
In the UK the average age for those dying with Covid is 82.4 whereas the average age of people dying of everything else is 81.2, which is 1.2 years younger.
Be alert (for misleading information).
That's one way of looking at it. Another is to look at how many years of life each of the fatalities lost, versus their life expectancy at the date they died given their age. This comes out at about ten years lost per person.
That's a great point and very relevant
Not just 10 years of their life either - 10 years for the rest of their family to enjoy with them
When one person dies from Covid ten years prematurely (husband/wife/parent/grandparent/child etc)
The knock on effect on so many others in the family is huge
Heartbreaking
Which time and time again I don't see Justin putting any real value on in these threads?
No, but why is it lead item on the news when hundreds of others were dying on the same day ?
I think we both know why.