Was Sweden right after all ?

[MikeJ]

You could also argue that London was hit much harder in the first wave because of the exceptionally high population density, and therefore has had a bigger benefit from the social distancing measures put in place since then.

 

[John Hemming]

You could also argue that London was hit much harder in the first wave because of the exceptionally high population density, and therefore has had a bigger benefit from the social distancing measures put in place since then.

This is sort of right in the first half. London and New York were hit particularly hard because the underground railway is a good mechanism for spreading disease. Such transport system are only warranted when there is a really high population density.

 

[Justin Smith]

According to ONS data, cumulative deaths per 100000 haven't been higher in London than the rest of England since early November. How does that fit with your theories?

Not sure what you're saying.
London had a significantly higher death rate per 100,000 after the April peak, and that was reflected in its greater resistance to Covid in the Flu season peak. If you are saying the rest of the UK has now caught up with it then, by definition, they should now have a similar resistance to Covid.
Not that is really matters now because, err, we have already vaccinated the great majority if those who are actually at risk from Covid.

 

[Justin Smith]

It was always going to happen, it was only a question of when, but it looks like rioting has started up. Technically it was about the government's new bill to curb the right to protest, but that and suppression are all linked really :

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-bristol-56461796

I reckon that will be precursor of more wide spread social discontent if Aniela is right and Boris Johnson's promise of it'll all be over in June turns out to be a big con.

 

[jpjj]

Not sure what you're saying.
London had a significantly higher death rate per 100,000 after the April peak, and that was reflected in its greater resistance to Covid in the Flu season peak. If you are saying the rest of the UK has now caught up with it then, by definition, they should now have a similar resistance to Covid.
Not that is really matters now because, err, we have already vaccinated the great majority if those who are actually at risk from Covid.

Assuming that when you say the "flu season peak" you mean after the the beginning of November 2020, then no. Cumulative death rate per 100,000 in the rest of England had caught up with London's by early November, and is still higher.

 

[Aniela]

It was always going to happen, it was only a question of when, but it looks like rioting has started up. Technically it was about the government's new bill to curb the right to protest, but that and suppression are all linked really :

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-bristol-56461796

I reckon that will be precursor of more wide spread social discontent if Aniela is right and Boris Johnson's promise of it'll all be over in June turns out to be a big con.

You can't just go linking things like that hahaha. That's flat-out stupid.

The local gregs to me shut down recently. I would say the the protests in Bristol were actually linked to that. Civil unrest due to people not being able to get their sausage rolls as often.

 

[Ozzy]

After 1,727 posts and 87 pages on this thread I think it's run it's course and going down a path I'm not comfortable with; everyone has had there chance to give their opinion so I'm closing this thread now.