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To be honest the thing I am most looking forward to over the coming couple of the years is the bewildered look on the mandarins/treasury officials/UK govs faces when these tax rises produce no additional revenue whatsoever, in some cases perhaps a reversal. I have my ear close enough to the ground in my own business and knowing dozens of other MDs that these policies are a disaster and that is before implementation, investment and productivity will collapse. Businesses will go into self-preservation mode.I am a bit shocked by it all.
Just came in from walking the dog thinking about it.
There's going to be a complete 're-modelling' of the commercial landscape isn't there?
My business is fortunate - banked many years of successful profits during the good times and we're in a strong position. Don't mean to come across as a moaning minnie but.....in just the last 4 weeks:
- Rent up 10% (landlord wanted +33%)
- Business Rates up 31%
- Minimum wage up 10%.
- Sterling vs dollar down from 1.37 average last year to 1.18 (weakest in my trading life)
- Online advertising costs +30%
- National Insurance, lost track to be honest.
- Dividend tax credit cut from £2k to £1k (oh for the days of £30k, we were very lucky back then)
- Dividend tax increased by 1.5%
- Corporation tax increased by 30% (19% to 25%)
Absolute bonkers.
My attitude next year is to steal market share....undercutting our 'discount' competitors to oblivion.
If we end up making £0-£50k profit rather than the usual much larger sum so be it.
The only winners will be USA Corps - Google/Amazon/Facebook and Ebay during the 'fight to the death' occurring in retail markets next year.
As someone said today there is ZERO incentive provided by the govt to invest in UK PLC. Many companies will simply 'hibernate' for the next 18-24m. What is this going to do to do to tax receipts.
Doom loop doesn't cover it.
...And like yourself I am thinking a good outcome for us is that one of our two principal competitors going bust, one is pretty weak and must be on terrible margins given the prices charged. Not a good place to be. That'd set us up nicely for another decade with just two of us then dividing the market between us.
No way are a lot of businesses surviving this onslaught. Watch credit control next year like a hawk......