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Original Post:
So you don't believe Ray Kurzweil is right in predicting that we'll have human-level intelligence by 2029?From my perspective, it has another 20 years to go…
Possibly. But the more niche your business the better your chances of survival.Personally I don't think web developers have much more than 3-5 years.
At this point, it seems the limit is roughly a few pages of code in one file at a time, and it still needs a lot of babysitting.he still can get any of his AI tools to build anything close to the custom plugins I develop
But the idea that someone can say what they want a website to do and AI will get that right without a lot of iterations I think is still quite a way off.
But the idea that someone can say what they want a website to do and AI will get that right without a lot of iterations I think is still quite a way off.
Try asking AI to build a site with a complex structure that uses an API to pull data.
Would you really trust an AI tool with all your logins, public and private keys or DB credentials?
Yep, I think we're all aware that at this point, this is well beyond the current capabilities of AI.Try asking AI to build a site with a complex structure that uses an API to pull data. Then add in a quote system and contact form. Also write case studies and select appropriate images. Connect with your insurance policies and write legal pages.
I suspect it will beyond capabilities for a long time. Generative AI is excellent at components but putting a package together isn’t practical. There are way too many variables for a LLM to process.Yep, I think we're all aware that at this point, this is well beyond the current capabilities of AI.
Given the rapid and accelerating exponential rate of improvement, what would your guess be?I suspect it will beyond capabilities for a long time.
No idea. But it won't be using an LLM. You need a whole different way of doing things if you are planing to use AI to build you a DB driven website. You would need a higher level a tool that builds the structure and then maybe use an LLM to generate each file and then different tools to do all the SQL queries and then bolts everything together.Given the rapid and accelerating exponential rate of improvement, what would your guess be?
Web3 is a myth: blockchain for mail-services? Web-server,, DNS Server etc.?Web development is changing rapidly with advancements in AI, automation, and decentralized tech. As low-code/no-code solutions gain traction, will traditional development still hold its ground, or are we heading toward a completely new era of web creation?
No idea. But it won't be using an LLM.
It probably will be an LLM but it will probably need to have lots more stuff available to it as test time, e.g. multiple passes, memory, writing a plan and following it etc.A standard LLM won't be able to do this as this isn't the way they are designed.