As I say I am not a lawyer but I would say that this is an "entirely irrelevant" analogy. AFAIK burglary is a criminal offence while copyright infringement seldom is. I can also say with confidence that your percentages are wildly wrong. I would say that from what I have read over the last few years the chances of being successfully prosecuted are probably less than 0.001%. I would of course be happy to stand corrected if there is any evidence to suggest that I am wrong?
I did not say that the links were about Getty. I was crediting anyone who read them with the intelligence to realise this and I did say "practises like this". I still believe the case in the Guardian is a good example of how a UK judge may view the Getty case should they ever have the b@lls to test it in court. I can see a lot of similarities. Do you have any evidence or case history to suggest otherwise?
But let's hear from you as a lawyer and knowing what you know about this. Realistically what are the chances that lawrietemple is likely to be taken to court and to lose his/her case on this?
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It was not an irrelevant analogy, and the percentages I quoted were based on official statistics.
And whether or not I have any evidence or case history doesn't make the MediaCAT case referred to in the Guardian any more or less irrelevant.
Regarding lawrietemple, there are two types of risk.
Firstly, there is the practical risk of whether he/she will be taken to court or not. That I cannot advise on properly without a crystal ball, and evidence of what has happened in the past may not necessarily be good evidence for the future - and hearsay is not hard evidence.
Secondly, there is the legal risk of whether he/she will lose in court. The answer to that may be, yes, as publisher of the image, but to what extent costs and/or damages might be awarded is another matter and depends on the circumstances of the case and what is claimed.
Getty of course would also have to prove their ownership of the copyright, and if lawrietemple can show that he/she took due steps to prevent or halt any infringement that will at least be a mitigating factor.
The other factor is of course that if you get taken to court your own legal costs can outweigh anything else since cases of this kind are expensive in nature.
I advise as best as I can based on the facts and the law, not hearsay or what I have read in the newspapers, and it is never possible to advise fully without being sure of knowing all the facts properly.