Recent content by jpjj

  1. J

    Herd immunity on Monday? Its nearly over.

    If other coronaviruses gave significant immunity to this one, wouldn't we have had sufficient prior immunity to the initial Wuhan strain to substantially contain infections in the first place?
  2. J

    Was Sweden right after all ?

    Assuming that when you say the "flu season peak" you mean after the the beginning of November 2020, then no. Cumulative death rate per 100,000 in the rest of England had caught up with London's by early November, and is still higher.
  3. J

    Was Sweden right after all ?

    According to ONS data, cumulative deaths per 100000 haven't been higher in London than the rest of England since early November. How does that fit with your theories?
  4. J

    Track & trace

    I have only seen what you have posted and what others have said in response. Please post a link to the article, or failing that mention who the author is, and the data and source that they quoted in the article. I have posted it before. As it turns out you, can't open spreadsheet files, I...
  5. J

    Track & trace

    Seems likely.
  6. J

    Track & trace

    So you're going to rely some figures quoted in an opinion piece some weeks ago, that presumably didn't reference the source of the data, and ignore any new information that comes along that says something different. I think that tells us all we need to know about the reliability of your thought...
  7. J

    Track & trace

    Not zero hospitalisations for 85+ group according to NHS hospital data 27-Feb-21 28-Feb-21 01-Mar-21 02-Mar-21 03-Mar-21 40 30 28 32 29 Also, you ducking the question presumably means that admissions also dropped dramatically in...
  8. J

    Track & trace

    Explain? Different studies often produce different results. Your first two paragraphs appear to be based on findings from clinical trials with carefully controlled participation. Real world results from rollout to wider populations often produce results that are not quite the same...
  9. J

    Track & trace

    PHE published this yesterday: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/970669/PH__VE_report_20210317_CC_JLB.pdf Deaths at >14 days post first dose 93% Vaccine protection against hospitalisation 80% Vaccine protection against infection 72%...
  10. J

    Track & trace

    Ah Mike Yeadon - a bit more difficult to follow on social media these days. I read the other day that his twitter account had been deleted after it was noticed there were a load of vitriolic racist comments on it from prior to the coronavirus episode. He is alleged to be claiming it's all a...
  11. J

    Why has the government extended Furlough to the end of Sept ?

    https://publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm5801/cmselect/cmpubadm/803/80302.htm
  12. J

    The UK Economy has shrunk by only 9 per cent since before the pandemic

    No, I'm pointing out an example of a country that locked down and suffered less economic damage than one in the same region that didn't. There are other examples too. There is more to this than "Sweden good, everywhere else bad" which seems to be your view.
  13. J

    The UK Economy has shrunk by only 9 per cent since before the pandemic

    Norway locked down, had a lower death rate that UK and Sweden, and a GDP reduction of 0.8% for 2020 compared to 2019. Which implies that there is not a linear causal relationship between suppression measures and economic damage, so it is not reasonable from to infer from the data you referenced...
  14. J

    Was Sweden right after all ?

    Alongside not wanting to wear a mask, Justin wants to go on his holidays and to have been right all along. Is that too much to ask?
  15. J

    Vaccine anyone?

    More to the point how many people has he listened to, rather than ranted at?
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