PDA

View Full Version : Currency Market Update 16/10/09


PhilBen
16th October 2009, 08:21
The Pound rebounds against all the majors on speculation that BoE could pause quantitative easing. BoE Markets Director Paul Fisher said that he has more confidence now that quantitative easing is "having the scale and speed of impact that we would have hoped for when we started" in March. He also hinted MPC might opt to pause quantitative easing to give the BOE an option of "doing more later". This is endorsing the comments from Deputy Governor Charles Bean that BoE "will need to gradually remove the monetary stimulus that we have imparted to the economy, otherwise we will be in danger of overshooting our 2 percent inflation target.

The dollar was mixed against majors on Thursday following better-than-expected economic data about inflation and jobless claims. The dollar gained 1.32% against the yen, but fell against the euro and the pound.

The Euro has come under increasing pressure after the September consumer price report showed that inflation has fallen for a fourth month in a row. The 0.3% decline from a year ago in the headline reading was unchanged from August. However the decline from 1.3% to 1.2% in the core component is evidence that deflationary pressure will remain. Despite expectations of a 0.1% increase during the month prices were flat despite and were offset by declines in energy and housing markets. The ECB stated in their monthly bulletin that they expected low inflationary pressure over the medium term.

Interbank Rates at 9.15am UK
GBP-EURO 1.094
GBP-USD 1.631
GBP-AUD 1.772

Data out Today
Euro Trade balance
Canada CPI
US Treasury International Capital System (TICS)
US Univ of Mich Sent. (P)
US Industrial production